Язык:Русский
Aryna Sabalenka v Elena Rybakina
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 58.07%1.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.29%
Преимущество -0.757%
Kelly -1.84%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.19%58.19%58.14%60.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.631.641.7063.69%61.26%60.98%58.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Elena Rybakina (Гости)
Прогноз 41.93%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.74%
Преимущество +1.12%
Kelly +1.89%
Рост +0.052%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.25%41.81%41.86%43.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.072.292.302.4548.31%43.62%43.48%40.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 58.07%; Elena Rybakina (Гости): 41.93%. Для исхода «Elena Rybakina (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.38. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.45, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.74%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -7.67%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +2.74%E +1.12%K +1.89%G +0.052% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 20:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +1.90%E +0.781%K +1.33%G +0.025% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV +1.06%E +0.439%K +0.751%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV +1.06%E +0.439%K +0.751%G +0.008% | 2.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.639%E +0.266%K +0.457%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.199%E -0.084%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.46%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.46%E -0.620%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.30%E -0.985%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -1.87%E -1.10%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.61%E -2.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.09%E -4.43%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.83%E -5.63%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.55%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.97%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.39%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.51%E -4.04%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.39%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 19:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.35%E -3.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.93%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.07%E -2.71%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -6.91%E -3.11%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.91%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -7.33%E -3.32%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.29%E -0.757%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 20:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.03%E -1.81%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.75%E -3.52%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -1.29%E -0.757%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -8.59%E -3.94%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -7.67%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.71%EV -8.25%E -5.22%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.29%EV -13.20%E -6.38%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 20:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 19:56 |