Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Potapova v Leolia Jeanjean

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 15:01 UTC

Final: Anastasia Potapova 2–1 Leolia Jeanjean

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prediction 76.06%1.31fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%75.79%76.19%77.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.73%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)

Prediction 23.94%4.18fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.843%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%24.21%23.81%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.903.904.3329.41%25.63%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 76.06%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 23.94%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54%EV +3.65%E +0.843%K +1.10%G +0.040%2.5%2026-09-03 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.537%E +0.128%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.2%2026-09-03 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +0.537%E +0.128%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.05%E -0.754%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 09:45
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 14:45
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.44%E -5.24%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.44%E -5.24%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 09:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:00
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:45
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.88%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:45
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.88%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:45
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 09:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:40
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:40
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:44
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.52%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.34%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.91%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.88%E -1.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.83%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 10:50
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.88%E -1.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.61%E -5.47%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:50
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 14:35
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-09-03 14:50