Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anastasia Potapova v Leolia Jeanjean

Início: 2026-09-03 15:01 UTC

Final: Anastasia Potapova 2–1 Leolia Jeanjean

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Previsão 76.06%1.31odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -6.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.49%75.79%76.19%77.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.73%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante)

Previsão 23.94%4.18odd justa
EV +3.65%
Vantagem +0.843%
Kelly +1.10%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.54%24.21%23.81%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.903.904.3329.41%25.63%25.64%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 76.06%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante): 23.94%. Para Leolia Jeanjean (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.18. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.65%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54%EV +3.65%E +0.843%K +1.10%G +0.040%2.5%2026-09-03 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.537%E +0.128%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.2%2026-09-03 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +0.537%E +0.128%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.05%E -0.754%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 09:45
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 14:45
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.44%E -5.24%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.44%E -5.24%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 09:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:00
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:45
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.88%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:45
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.88%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:45
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 09:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:40
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:40
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:44
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.52%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.34%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.91%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.88%E -1.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.83%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 10:50
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.88%E -1.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.61%E -5.47%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 08:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:50
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 14:35
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-09-03 14:50