Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anastasia Potapova v Leolia Jeanjean

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 15:01 UTC

Score final : Anastasia Potapova 2–1 Leolia Jeanjean

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prévision 76.06%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -6.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%75.79%76.19%77.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.73%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.94%4.18cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.843%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%24.21%23.81%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.903.904.3329.41%25.63%25.64%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anastasia Potapova (Local) : 76.06% ; Leolia Jeanjean (Visiteur) : 23.94%. Pour Leolia Jeanjean (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.18. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.33, soit une espérance positive de +3.65%.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54%EV +3.65%E +0.843%K +1.10%G +0.040%2.5%2026-09-03 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.537%E +0.128%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.2%2026-09-03 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +0.537%E +0.128%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.86%E -0.453%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.05%E -0.754%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 09:45
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 14:45
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:50
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.44%E -5.24%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.44%E -5.24%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.25%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 09:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.45%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:00
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:45
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.20%E -5.90%K -32.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.64%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.88%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:45
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.83%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.17%EV -6.88%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 09:45
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 09:40
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:40
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.68%E -4.58%K -23.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.84%E -2.04%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 10:40
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.04%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 09:44
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.52%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.92%E -3.94%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.23%E -2.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.16%E -3.30%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.43%E -3.09%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.34%EV -3.40%E -2.68%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.91%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.88%E -1.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.83%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 10:50
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.88%E -1.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.61%E -5.47%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 08:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-03 14:50
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-03 14:35
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-09-03 14:50