Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Laura Siegemund
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 92.44%1.08fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -96.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.73%92.36%92.66%94.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.031.04100.00%97.36%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Laura Siegemund (Visit)
Prediction 7.56%13.22fair odd
EV +39.21%
Edge +2.13%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.883%
assuming max odds 18.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.35%7.64%7.34%10.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0012.4112.0018.4111.11%8.06%8.33%5.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 92.44%; Laura Siegemund (Visit): 7.56%. For Laura Siegemund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.22. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +39.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.65%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 18.41I 5.43%NM 5.35%EV +39.21%E +2.13%K +2.25%G +0.883% | 1.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.56%EV +32.33%E +1.85%K +1.96%G +0.633% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.55%E +1.68%K +1.78%G +0.509% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +20.98%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.294% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -7.56%E -7.56%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +11.91%E +0.805%K +0.863%G +0.103% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 13.36I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +1.02%E +0.076%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 13.36I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +1.02%E +0.076%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV -0.188%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -3.59%E -0.282%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV -4.73%E -0.375%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 17:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 17:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 0.2% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.71% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |