La scuola delle quote

Iga Swiatek v Laura Siegemund

Inizio: 2026-04-15 17:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Iga Swiatek (Casa)

Previsione 92.44%1.08quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -3.72%
Kelly -96.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.73%92.36%92.66%94.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.031.031.04100.00%97.36%97.09%96.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Laura Siegemund (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.56%13.22quota equa
EV +39.21%
Vantaggio +2.13%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescita +0.883%

ipotizzando la quota massima 18.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.35%7.64%7.34%10.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0012.4112.0018.4111.11%8.06%8.33%5.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.65%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%18.41I 5.43%NM 5.35%EV +39.21%E +2.13%K +2.25%G +0.883%1.6%2026-04-15 17:40
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.56%EV +32.33%E +1.85%K +1.96%G +0.633%2.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Sky Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.55%E +1.68%K +1.78%G +0.509%3.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +20.98%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.294%3.3%2026-04-15 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -7.56%E -7.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129%6.7%2026-04-15 17:40
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +11.91%E +0.805%K +0.863%G +0.103%4.8%2026-04-15 17:39
LowVig.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.36I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +1.02%E +0.076%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.6%2026-04-15 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.36I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +1.02%E +0.076%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.6%2026-04-15 17:40
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV -0.188%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Bet Right1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
ReBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:39
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Marathon Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -3.59%E -0.282%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 17:39
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV -4.73%E -0.375%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:40
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:38
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:40
SportsBet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:40
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 17:40
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:40
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Caesars1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 17:40
TAB1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Betsson1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 17:40
NordicBet1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 17:40
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
Bet Victor1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:38
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-15 17:40
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.71%3.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58%4.9%2026-04-15 17:40