StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek v Laura Siegemund

Matchstart: 2026-04-15 17:45 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek (Hemma)

Prognos 92.44%1.08rättvist odds
EV -3.86%
Fördel -3.72%
Kelly -96.60%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.73%92.36%92.66%94.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.031.031.04100.00%97.36%97.09%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Laura Siegemund (Borta)

Prognos 7.56%13.22rättvist odds
EV +39.21%
Fördel +2.13%
Kelly +2.25%
Tillväxt +0.883%

med antagandet om högsta odds 18.41

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
5.35%7.64%7.34%10.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0012.4112.0018.4111.11%8.06%8.33%5.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Iga Swiatek (Hemma): 92.44%; Laura Siegemund (Borta): 7.56%. För Laura Siegemund (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 13.22. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 18.41, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +39.21%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 94.65%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%18.41I 5.43%NM 5.35%EV +39.21%E +2.13%K +2.25%G +0.883%1.6%2026-04-15 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.56%EV +32.33%E +1.85%K +1.96%G +0.633%2.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +28.55%E +1.68%K +1.78%G +0.509%3.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +20.98%E +1.31%K +1.40%G +0.294%3.3%2026-04-15 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -7.56%E -7.56%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +13.42%E +0.895%K +0.959%G +0.129%6.7%2026-04-15 17:40
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV +11.91%E +0.805%K +0.863%G +0.103%4.8%2026-04-15 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.36I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +1.02%E +0.076%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.6%2026-04-15 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.84%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.36I 7.49%NM 7.16%EV +1.02%E +0.076%K +0.083%G +0.001%4.6%2026-04-15 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.76%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.20I 7.58%NM 7.24%EV -0.188%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:39
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -1.70%E -0.131%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -3.59%E -0.282%K -0.306%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV -4.73%E -0.375%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -5.48%E -0.439%K -0.477%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.26%E -0.772%K -0.842%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.64%E -6.57%K -663.71%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.04%E -1.13%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Caesars🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 17:40
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.82%E -1.53%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.71%E -5.60%K -285.64%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -20.60%E -1.96%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 17:40
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.86%E -3.72%K -96.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.39%E -2.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:39
Bet Victor🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.79%E -4.65%K -159.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -31.95%E -3.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-15 17:40
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%17.01I 5.88%NM 5.71%3.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 93.42%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.58%4.9%2026-04-15 17:40