Language:English
Elena Rybakina v Mirra Andreeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Rybakina (Local)
Prediction 59.30%1.69fair odd
EV +5.56%
Edge +3.12%
Kelly +7.13%
Growth +0.396%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%59.08%59.43%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.601.601.7866.23%62.57%62.50%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirra Andreeva (Visit)
Prediction 40.70%2.46fair odd
EV +3.78%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%40.92%40.57%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.282.5548.78%43.94%43.86%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 59.30%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 40.70%. For Elena Rybakina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +5.56%E +3.12%K +7.13%G +0.396% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -14.94%E -7.15%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +5.56%E +3.12%K +7.13%G +0.396% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -14.94%E -7.15%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 14:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.78%E +2.16%K +5.04%G +0.191% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.57%E -8.08%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 14:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +2.00%E +1.16%K +2.78%G +0.056% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -11.28%E -5.18%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.00%E +1.16%K +2.78%G +0.056% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.54%E -6.92%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 14:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.963%E -0.577%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.25%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 14:42 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.50%E -5.82%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.93%E -2.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.51%E -0.626%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.78%E +1.48%K +2.44%G +0.092% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.45%E -6.92%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 0.1% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |