L’École des cotes

Elena Rybakina v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prévision 59.30%1.69cote équitable
EV +5.56%
Avantage +3.12%
Kelly +7.13%
Croissance +0.396%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%59.08%59.43%62.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.601.601.7866.23%62.57%62.50%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.70%2.46cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +2.44%
Croissance +0.092%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%40.92%40.57%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.282.282.5548.78%43.94%43.86%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +5.56%E +3.12%K +7.13%G +0.396%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -14.94%E -7.15%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +5.56%E +3.12%K +7.13%G +0.396%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -14.94%E -7.15%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 14:44
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.78%E +2.16%K +5.04%G +0.191%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.57%E -8.08%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:43
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +2.00%E +1.16%K +2.78%G +0.056%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -11.28%E -5.18%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 14:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.00%E +1.16%K +2.78%G +0.056%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.54%E -6.92%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 14:43
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.963%E -0.577%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.25%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 14:42
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 14:54
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:54
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.50%E -5.82%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.93%E -2.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.51%E -0.626%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:55
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:55
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.78%E +1.48%K +2.44%G +0.092%5.0%2026-04-18 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:55
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.45%E -6.92%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-04-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-04-18 14:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%4.8%2026-04-18 14:55