A Escola das Odds

Elena Rybakina v Mirra Andreeva

Início: 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Previsão 59.30%1.69odd justa
EV +5.56%
Vantagem +3.12%
Kelly +7.13%
Crescimento +0.396%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%59.08%59.43%62.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.511.601.601.7866.23%62.57%62.50%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Previsão 40.70%2.46odd justa
EV +3.78%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescimento +0.092%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.35%40.92%40.57%46.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.282.282.5548.78%43.94%43.86%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +5.56%E +3.12%K +7.13%G +0.396%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -14.94%E -7.15%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +5.56%E +3.12%K +7.13%G +0.396%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -14.94%E -7.15%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 14:44
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.78%E +2.16%K +5.04%G +0.191%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.57%E -8.08%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:43
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV +2.00%E +1.16%K +2.78%G +0.056%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -11.28%E -5.18%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 14:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.00%E +1.16%K +2.78%G +0.056%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.54%E -6.92%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 14:43
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -0.963%E -0.577%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -9.25%E -4.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 14:42
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 14:54
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 14:54
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.15%E -1.30%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.50%E -5.82%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.93%E -2.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.18%E -2.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.20%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.51%E -0.626%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 14:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -7.21%E -3.16%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 14:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:55
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.33%E -0.970%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.40%E -2.78%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 14:54
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.14%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.36%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:55
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.78%E +1.48%K +2.44%G +0.092%5.0%2026-04-18 14:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.43%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:55
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -10.45%E -6.92%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.47%E -4.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%0.1%2026-04-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-04-18 14:55
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-04-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-04-18 14:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%4.8%2026-04-18 14:55