Language:English
Elena Rybakina v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Rybakina (Local)
Prediction 86.33%1.16fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -27.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.28%86.32%86.42%89.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.091.091.1297.09%91.99%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 13.67%7.32fair odd
EV +23.00%
Edge +2.56%
Kelly +2.87%
Growth +0.661%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.27%13.68%13.58%17.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.207.087.009.0019.23%14.13%14.29%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 86.33%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 13.67%. For Leylah Fernandez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.32. 25 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.00%E +2.56%K +2.87%G +0.661% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -11.08%E -10.75%K -369.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +23.00%E +2.56%K +2.87%G +0.661% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 8.93I 11.20%NM 10.97%EV +22.04%E +2.47%K +2.78%G +0.613% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +16.17%E +1.90%K +2.16%G +0.348% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +16.17%E +1.90%K +2.16%G +0.348% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +14.80%E +1.76%K +2.00%G +0.296% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.36%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.64%EV +14.12%E +1.69%K +1.92%G +0.271% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV +12.07%E +1.47%K +1.68%G +0.202% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +10.70%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.161% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV +10.70%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.161% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.35%E -8.90%K -187.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.35%E -8.90%K -187.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +7.69%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.086% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +7.69%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.086% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 17:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -16.63%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.63%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -17.32%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -20.73%E -3.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 18:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.55%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -20.73%E -3.57%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -28.93%E -5.56%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15% | 2.8% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.31% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 18:20 |