مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elena Rybakina v Leylah Fernandez

البداية: 2026-04-17 18:23 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elena Rybakina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 86.33%1.16السعر العادل
EV -3.31%
الأفضلية -2.95%
Kelly -27.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
82.28%86.32%86.42%89.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.031.091.091.1297.09%91.99%91.74%89.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leylah Fernandez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.67%7.32السعر العادل
EV +23.00%
الأفضلية +2.56%
Kelly +2.87%
النمو +0.661%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.27%13.68%13.58%17.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.207.087.009.0019.23%14.13%14.29%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.00%E +2.56%K +2.87%G +0.661%5.5%2026-04-17 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -11.08%E -10.75%K -369.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +23.00%E +2.56%K +2.87%G +0.661%8.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 89.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%8.93I 11.20%NM 10.97%EV +22.04%E +2.47%K +2.78%G +0.613%2.1%2026-04-17 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +16.17%E +1.90%K +2.16%G +0.348%5.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +16.17%E +1.90%K +2.16%G +0.348%5.2%2026-04-17 18:10
ReBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +14.80%E +1.76%K +2.00%G +0.296%5.4%2026-04-17 18:08
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.36%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.64%EV +14.12%E +1.69%K +1.92%G +0.271%2.9%2026-04-17 18:09
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV +12.07%E +1.47%K +1.68%G +0.202%5.7%2026-04-17 18:14
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +10.70%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.161%3.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV +10.70%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.161%5.8%2026-04-17 18:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.1%2026-04-17 18:12
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%5.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%6.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%6.0%2026-04-17 18:10
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%6.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.35%E -8.90%K -187.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%7.7%2026-04-17 18:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.35%E -8.90%K -187.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%7.7%2026-04-17 18:09
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +7.69%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.086%4.4%2026-04-17 18:16
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +7.69%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.086%4.4%2026-04-17 18:16
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.1%2026-04-17 18:14
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.9%2026-04-17 18:09
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.9%2026-04-17 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%6.8%2026-04-17 18:15
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%7.7%2026-04-17 18:10
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:20
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 18:19
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:20
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:20
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:20
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:19
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:19
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -16.63%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.63%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:19
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -17.32%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:19
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:19
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -20.73%E -3.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:18
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.55%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -20.73%E -3.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -28.93%E -5.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%0.4%2026-04-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-04-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-04-17 18:20
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-17 18:20
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.31%5.6%2026-04-17 18:20