A Escola das Odds

Elena Rybakina v Leylah Fernandez

Início: 2026-04-17 18:23 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Previsão 86.33%1.16odd justa
EV -3.31%
Vantagem -2.95%
Kelly -27.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.28%86.32%86.42%89.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.031.091.091.1297.09%91.99%91.74%89.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Previsão 13.67%7.32odd justa
EV +23.00%
Vantagem +2.56%
Kelly +2.87%
Crescimento +0.661%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.27%13.68%13.58%17.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.207.087.009.0019.23%14.13%14.29%11.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +23.00%E +2.56%K +2.87%G +0.661%5.5%2026-04-17 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -11.08%E -10.75%K -369.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +23.00%E +2.56%K +2.87%G +0.661%8.2%2026-04-17 18:10
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 89.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%8.93I 11.20%NM 10.97%EV +22.04%E +2.47%K +2.78%G +0.613%2.1%2026-04-17 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +16.17%E +1.90%K +2.16%G +0.348%5.2%2026-04-17 18:09
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +16.17%E +1.90%K +2.16%G +0.348%5.2%2026-04-17 18:10
ReBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +14.80%E +1.76%K +2.00%G +0.296%5.4%2026-04-17 18:08
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.36%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.64%EV +14.12%E +1.69%K +1.92%G +0.271%2.9%2026-04-17 18:09
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV +12.07%E +1.47%K +1.68%G +0.202%5.7%2026-04-17 18:14
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +10.70%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.161%3.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.33%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.67%EV +10.70%E +1.32%K +1.51%G +0.161%5.8%2026-04-17 18:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.1%2026-04-17 18:12
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%5.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%6.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%6.0%2026-04-17 18:10
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%6.0%2026-04-17 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.35%E -8.90%K -187.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%7.7%2026-04-17 18:10
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.35%E -8.90%K -187.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +9.33%E +1.17%K +1.33%G +0.124%7.7%2026-04-17 18:09
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +7.69%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.086%4.4%2026-04-17 18:16
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV +7.69%E +0.976%K +1.12%G +0.086%4.4%2026-04-17 18:16
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.1%2026-04-17 18:14
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.9%2026-04-17 18:09
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.9%2026-04-17 18:09
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%5.9%2026-04-17 17:59
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%6.8%2026-04-17 18:15
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +2.50%E +0.333%K +0.384%G +0.010%7.7%2026-04-17 18:10
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 18:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:20
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -4.33%E -0.619%K -0.722%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:20
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 18:19
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 18:19
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.75%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:20
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 18:20
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:20
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:19
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:20
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.17%E -1.72%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 18:20
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:19
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.58%E -2.33%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 18:19
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -16.63%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -16.63%E -2.73%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:19
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -17.32%E -2.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:19
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 18:19
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.17%E -3.76%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.58%K -50.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.76%E -6.26%K -84.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -18.00%E -3.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -5.90%E -5.41%K -65.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -20.73%E -3.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 18:18
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.55%EV -8.49%E -8.01%K -141.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -20.73%E -3.57%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-17 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -3.31%E -2.95%K -27.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -28.93%E -5.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-04-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%0.4%2026-04-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-04-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-04-17 18:20
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-17 18:20
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-04-17 18:20
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 87.69%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.31%5.6%2026-04-17 18:20