StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elena Rybakina v Karolina Muchova

Matchstart: 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elena Rybakina (Hemma)

Prognos 80.73%1.24rättvist odds
EV +16.25%
Fördel +11.29%
Kelly +36.94%
Tillväxt +6.00%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.35%79.56%80.37%83.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.191.171.4489.29%83.98%85.47%69.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Borta)

Prognos 19.27%5.19rättvist odds
EV +6.37%
Fördel +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
Tillväxt +0.090%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.92%20.44%19.63%33.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.804.684.905.5235.71%21.35%20.41%18.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Elena Rybakina (Hemma): 80.73%; Karolina Muchova (Borta): 19.27%. För Elena Rybakina (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.24. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.44, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +16.25%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:10
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:07
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +14.64%E +10.31%K +34.85%G +5.10%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -46.05%E -16.45%K -25.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 11:08
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +13.02%E +9.30%K +32.56%G +4.24%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -44.12%E -15.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV +8.18%E +6.10%K +24.06%G +1.97%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -40.65%E -13.20%K -19.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:08
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29%EV -1.51%E -1.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.71%EV -4.23%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.93%E -3.30%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.93%E -3.30%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.40%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV +6.37%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.090%3.6%2026-04-19 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.73%E -0.339%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.51%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.22%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 11:19
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.40%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -13.29%E -2.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.16%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003%6.8%2026-04-19 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.16%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003%6.8%2026-04-19 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -8.77%E -7.76%K -67.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -4.62%E -0.933%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -8.77%E -7.76%K -67.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.22%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 11:20
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%7.5%2026-04-19 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%7.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%7.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-19 11:20
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.73%6.6%2026-04-19 11:20