A Escola das Odds

Elena Rybakina v Karolina Muchova

Início: 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Previsão 80.73%1.24odd justa
EV +16.25%
Vantagem +11.29%
Kelly +36.94%
Crescimento +6.00%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.35%79.56%80.37%83.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.191.171.4489.29%83.98%85.47%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Previsão 19.27%5.19odd justa
EV +6.37%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescimento +0.090%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.92%20.44%19.63%33.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.804.684.905.5235.71%21.35%20.41%18.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:10
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 11:07
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +14.64%E +10.31%K +34.85%G +5.10%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -46.05%E -16.45%K -25.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 11:08
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +13.02%E +9.30%K +32.56%G +4.24%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -44.12%E -15.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:20
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV +8.18%E +6.10%K +24.06%G +1.97%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -40.65%E -13.20%K -19.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:08
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29%EV -1.51%E -1.24%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.71%EV -4.23%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.93%E -3.30%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.93%E -3.30%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.40%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:18
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:20
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:20
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:20
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV +6.37%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.090%3.6%2026-04-19 11:20
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.73%E -0.339%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.51%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.22%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 11:19
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.40%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -13.29%E -2.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.16%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003%6.8%2026-04-19 11:20
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.16%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003%6.8%2026-04-19 11:20
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -8.77%E -7.76%K -67.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -4.62%E -0.933%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -8.77%E -7.76%K -67.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.22%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 11:20
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%7.5%2026-04-19 11:20
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%7.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079%7.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-04-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-04-19 11:20
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%1.0%2026-04-19 11:20
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67%1.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.73%6.6%2026-04-19 11:20