La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elena Rybakina v Karolina Muchova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elena Rybakina (Local)
Predicción 80.73%1.24momio equitativo
EV +16.25%
Ventaja +11.29%
Kelly +36.94%
Crecimiento +6.00%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.35%79.56%80.37%83.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.191.171.4489.29%83.98%85.47%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Karolina Muchova (Visitante)
Predicción 19.27%5.19momio equitativo
EV +6.37%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.92%20.44%19.63%33.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.804.684.905.5235.71%21.35%20.41%18.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:10 |
| BetUS | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV +16.25%E +11.29%K +36.94%G +6.00% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -44.31%E -15.33%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 11:07 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +14.64%E +10.31%K +34.85%G +5.10% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -46.05%E -16.45%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 11:08 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV +13.02%E +9.30%K +32.56%G +4.24% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -44.12%E -15.21%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV +8.18%E +6.10%K +24.06%G +1.97% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -40.65%E -13.20%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 11:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.29%EV -1.51%E -1.24%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.71%EV -4.23%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Unibet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.93%E -3.30%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.93%E -3.30%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -10.40%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.74%E -4.01%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV +6.37%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.090% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.73%E -0.339%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.51%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.43%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.54%E -4.74%K -32.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| TAB | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.47%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.36%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.35%E -5.48%K -39.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.22%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-19 11:19 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -10.40%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.16%E -6.23%K -47.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -13.29%E -2.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.16%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.16%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.97%E -6.99%K -56.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.65%E -0.731%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.41%EV -8.77%E -7.76%K -67.49%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -4.62%E -0.933%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -8.77%E -7.76%K -67.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.22%E -3.46%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +5.98%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.079% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -9.58%E -8.55%K -79.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +0.200%E +0.038%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.67% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |
| Novig | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.27% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.73% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 11:20 |