Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks v Mirra Andreeva

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prediction 9.56%10.46fair odd
EV +62.54%
Edge +3.68%
Kelly +3.91%
Growth +2.44%

assuming max odds 17.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.71%9.56%9.42%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.5010.3210.0017.0015.38%9.69%10.00%5.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visit)

Prediction 90.44%1.11fair odd
EV +0.387%
Edge +0.349%
Kelly +3.52%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%90.44%90.58%94.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.031.1199.01%95.86%97.09%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 9.56%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 90.44%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.46. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +62.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +62.54%E +3.68%K +3.91%G +2.44%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +62.54%E +3.68%K +3.91%G +2.44%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +43.42%E +2.89%K +3.10%G +1.35%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 13:00
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
888sport🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
BetMGM🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -8.66%E -8.57%K -865.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +9.95%E +0.866%K +0.948%G +0.094%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +9.95%E +0.866%K +0.948%G +0.094%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 13:00
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
DraftKings🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV +4.22%E +0.387%K +0.426%G +0.018%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
TABtouch🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
BetRivers🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Bally Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:59
TAB🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 13:00
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -8.66%E -8.57%K -865.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Fliff🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.60%EV -8.21%E -0.855%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.40%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 12:57
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.17%E -0.965%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.17%E -0.965%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -13.95%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.23%E -3.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.95%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.04%E -4.80%K -100.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Fanatics🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -18.73%E -2.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 13:00
Pinnacle🎯8.44I 11.85%NM 11.62%EV -19.30%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.38%EV +0.387%E +0.349%K +3.52%G +0.014%1.9%2026-04-16 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -21.12%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.23%E -3.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:44
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 12:44
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 12:45
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -25.42%E -3.26%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -1.42%E -1.30%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:44
BetOnline.ag🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -27.24%E -3.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -27.24%E -3.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:45
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.42%E -1.30%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.33%E -2.15%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 12:45
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:50
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:44
Codere (IT)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -29.25%E -3.95%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -2.33%E -2.15%K -29.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 12:41
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -37.85%E -5.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:53
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -37.85%E -5.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.04%E -4.80%K -100.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-16 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.33%0.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-16 13:00
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18%1.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%2.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 8.34%1.00I 100.00%NM 91.66%9.1%2026-04-16 13:00