Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks v Mirra Andreeva

Início: 2026-04-16 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Previsão 9.56%10.46odd justa
EV +62.54%
Vantagem +3.68%
Kelly +3.91%
Crescimento +2.44%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.71%9.56%9.42%14.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.5010.3210.0017.0015.38%9.69%10.00%5.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Previsão 90.44%1.11odd justa
EV +0.387%
Vantagem +0.349%
Kelly +3.52%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.53%90.44%90.58%94.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.041.031.1199.01%95.86%97.09%90.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alycia Parks (Local): 9.56%; Mirra Andreeva (Visitante): 90.44%. Para Alycia Parks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.46. 28 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 17.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +62.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +62.54%E +3.68%K +3.91%G +2.44%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +62.54%E +3.68%K +3.91%G +2.44%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +43.42%E +2.89%K +3.10%G +1.35%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 13:00
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
888sport🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
BetMGM🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -8.66%E -8.57%K -865.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +9.95%E +0.866%K +0.948%G +0.094%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +9.95%E +0.866%K +0.948%G +0.094%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
FanDuel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 13:00
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
DraftKings🎯10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV +4.22%E +0.387%K +0.426%G +0.018%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
TABtouch🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
BetRivers🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Bally Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Coolbet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Sky Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:59
TAB🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 13:00
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -8.66%E -8.57%K -865.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Fliff🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.60%EV -8.21%E -0.855%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.40%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 12:57
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.17%E -0.965%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.17%E -0.965%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -13.95%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.23%E -3.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.95%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.04%E -4.80%K -100.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Fanatics🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -18.73%E -2.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 13:00
Pinnacle🎯8.44I 11.85%NM 11.62%EV -19.30%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.38%EV +0.387%E +0.349%K +3.52%G +0.014%1.9%2026-04-16 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -21.12%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.23%E -3.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:44
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 12:44
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 12:45
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -25.42%E -3.26%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -1.42%E -1.30%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:44
BetOnline.ag🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -27.24%E -3.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -27.24%E -3.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:45
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.42%E -1.30%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.33%E -2.15%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 12:45
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:50
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:44
Codere (IT)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -29.25%E -3.95%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -2.33%E -2.15%K -29.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 12:41
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -37.85%E -5.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:53
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -37.85%E -5.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.04%E -4.80%K -100.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-16 12:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.33%0.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-16 13:00
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18%1.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%2.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 8.34%1.00I 100.00%NM 91.66%9.1%2026-04-16 13:00