L’École des cotes

Alycia Parks v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alycia Parks (Local)

Prévision 9.56%10.46cote équitable
EV +62.54%
Avantage +3.68%
Kelly +3.91%
Croissance +2.44%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.71%9.56%9.42%14.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.5010.3210.0017.0015.38%9.69%10.00%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 90.44%1.11cote équitable
EV +0.387%
Avantage +0.349%
Kelly +3.52%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.53%90.44%90.58%94.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.031.1199.01%95.86%97.09%90.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +62.54%E +3.68%K +3.91%G +2.44%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +62.54%E +3.68%K +3.91%G +2.44%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +43.42%E +2.89%K +3.10%G +1.35%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 13:00
Betway13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
BetMGM13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +24.30%E +1.87%K +2.02%G +0.492%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -8.66%E -8.57%K -865.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Casumo12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
betPARX12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
ATG (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Svenska Spel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
Hard Rock Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +14.74%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.197%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 13:00
LiveScore Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +9.95%E +0.866%K +0.948%G +0.094%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Virgin Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +9.95%E +0.866%K +0.948%G +0.094%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
FanDuel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 13:00
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Betsson11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +5.17%E +0.470%K +0.517%G +0.027%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
DraftKings10.90I 9.17%NM 8.86%EV +4.22%E +0.387%K +0.426%G +0.018%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.14%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 13:00
Winamax (DE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 13:00
TABtouch10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
BetRivers10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +0.393%E +0.037%K +0.041%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 13:00
Coolbet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 12:59
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 13:00
Tipico (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 13:00
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -4.39%E -0.439%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -8.66%E -8.57%K -865.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 13:00
Fliff9.60I 10.42%NM 9.60%EV -8.21%E -0.855%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.40%EV -7.75%E -7.60%K -387.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 12:57
Bet Victor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.17%E -0.965%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -9.17%E -0.965%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 13:00
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -13.95%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.23%E -3.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 13:00
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -13.95%E -1.55%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.04%E -4.80%K -100.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Fanatics8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -18.73%E -2.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 13:00
Pinnacle8.44I 11.85%NM 11.62%EV -19.30%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.38%EV +0.387%E +0.349%K +3.52%G +0.014%1.9%2026-04-16 12:45
Betclic (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -21.12%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -6.85%E -6.65%K -228.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Unibet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.23%E -3.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 12:44
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 12:44
NetBet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -23.51%E -2.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -5.94%E -5.72%K -148.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 12:45
ReBet7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -25.42%E -3.26%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -1.42%E -1.30%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 12:44
BetOnline.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -27.24%E -3.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:45
LowVig.ag7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -27.24%E -3.58%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 12:45
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.42%E -1.30%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 12:45
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.33%E -2.15%K -29.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 12:45
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:50
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -28.29%E -3.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.13%E -3.90%K -68.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 12:44
Codere (IT)7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV -29.25%E -3.95%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.26%EV -2.33%E -2.15%K -29.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 12:41
PlayUp6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -37.85%E -5.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -0.517%E -0.470%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 12:53
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -37.85%E -5.82%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.04%E -4.80%K -100.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-16 12:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.67%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.33%0.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-04-16 13:00
ProphetX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Smarkets14.49I 6.90%NM 6.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.18%1.2%2026-04-16 13:00
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%2.3%2026-04-16 13:00
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 8.34%1.00I 100.00%NM 91.66%9.1%2026-04-16 13:00