Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shuai Zhang v Emma Navarro

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 13:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prediction 27.20%3.68fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.33%27.15%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.7232.26%29.60%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Emma Navarro (Visit)

Prediction 72.80%1.37fair odd
EV -0.265%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.82%72.67%72.85%73.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.311.311.3779.37%76.16%76.63%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shuai Zhang (Local): 27.20%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 72.80%. For Shuai Zhang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV +1.19%E +0.319%K +0.437%G +0.005%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.716%E -0.196%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 13:30
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 13:27
BetAnything🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -2.35%E -0.654%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.44%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:28
DraftKings🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 13:30
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:29
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:30
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 13:29
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 13:30
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -8.27%E -6.57%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 13:30
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 13:29
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 13:29
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 13:30
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:29
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 13:27
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -13.77%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -0.265%E -0.194%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Novig3.76I 26.60%NM 25.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.02%2.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-05-21 13:30