La escuela de los momios

Shuai Zhang v Emma Navarro

Inicio: 2026-05-21 13:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Predicción 27.20%3.68momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.319%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.33%27.15%30.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.383.403.7232.26%29.60%29.41%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 72.80%1.37momio equitativo
EV -0.265%
Ventaja -0.194%
Kelly -0.717%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.82%72.67%72.85%73.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.311.311.3779.37%76.16%76.63%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV +1.19%E +0.319%K +0.437%G +0.005%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.716%E -0.196%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 13:30
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 13:27
BetAnything3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -2.35%E -0.654%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:29
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.44%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:28
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 13:30
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:29
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:30
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 13:29
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 13:30
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:30
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -8.27%E -6.57%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 13:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 13:29
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 13:29
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 13:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:29
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:29
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 13:27
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -13.77%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -0.265%E -0.194%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 13:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Novig3.76I 26.60%NM 25.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.02%2.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-05-21 13:30