L’École des cotes

Shuai Zhang v Emma Navarro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 27.20%3.68cote équitable
EV +1.19%
Avantage +0.319%
Kelly +0.437%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.33%27.15%30.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.403.7232.26%29.60%29.41%26.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emma Navarro (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.80%1.37cote équitable
EV -0.265%
Avantage -0.194%
Kelly -0.717%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.82%72.67%72.85%73.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.311.311.3779.37%76.16%76.63%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV +1.19%E +0.319%K +0.437%G +0.005%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -0.716%E -0.196%K -0.270%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 13:30
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.08%E -0.577%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 13:27
BetAnything3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58%EV -2.35%E -0.654%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.42%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 13:29
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.44%E -0.968%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:28
DraftKings3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.25%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 13:30
ReBet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 13:29
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:30
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:29
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 13:30
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.80%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 13:29
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 13:30
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.82%E -5.33%K -24.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 13:30
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.16%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -8.27%E -6.57%K -31.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-21 13:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 13:29
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.52%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.88%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.63%E -3.54%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 13:29
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 13:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.24%E -3.10%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:29
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.18%E -2.39%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 13:29
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.60%E -3.57%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.09%E -4.72%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.96%E -4.05%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.36%E -4.12%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 13:27
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -13.77%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -0.265%E -0.194%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 13:30
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -14.32%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -2.45%E -1.83%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 13:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -15.68%E -5.06%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -3.91%E -2.96%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Novig3.76I 26.60%NM 25.98%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.02%2.4%2026-05-21 13:30
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-05-21 13:30