A Escola das Odds

Magdalena Frech v Talia Gibson

Início: 2026-05-18 08:46 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Previsão 43.72%2.29odd justa
EV +7.12%
Vantagem +2.91%
Kelly +4.91%
Crescimento +0.350%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.97%44.14%43.91%53.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.802.122.102.4555.56%47.21%47.62%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Talia Gibson (Visitante)

Previsão 56.28%1.78odd justa
EV +15.37%
Vantagem +7.50%
Kelly +14.64%
Crescimento +2.25%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%55.86%56.09%62.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.691.672.0566.67%59.14%59.88%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -21.30%E -11.83%K -26.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +15.37%E +7.50%K +14.64%G +2.25%4.3%2026-05-18 08:45
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -15.61%E -8.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +4.11%E +2.22%K +4.84%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-18 08:29
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.99%E +1.63%K +3.60%G +0.107%4.6%2026-05-18 08:34
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.42%E +1.33%K +2.96%G +0.072%4.5%2026-05-18 08:29
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -12.12%E -6.03%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.86%E +1.03%K +2.30%G +0.043%5.0%2026-05-18 08:29
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-18 08:35
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-18 08:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.6%2026-05-18 08:24
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.8%2026-05-18 08:29
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.8%2026-05-18 08:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.74%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%6.8%2026-05-18 08:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.736%E +0.411%K +0.931%G +0.007%5.4%2026-05-18 08:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 08:36
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 08:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 08:39
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:35
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:44
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 08:46
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -16.49%E -8.63%K -18.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.20%EV -5.45%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 08:31
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:44
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:46
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:46
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 08:46
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 08:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.94%E +2.06%K +3.53%G +0.174%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.90%E -9.08%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-18 08:46
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78%9.0%2026-05-18 08:45