L’École des cotes

Magdalena Frech v Talia Gibson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 08:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 43.72%2.29cote équitable
EV +7.12%
Avantage +2.91%
Kelly +4.91%
Croissance +0.350%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%44.14%43.91%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.122.102.4555.56%47.21%47.62%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talia Gibson (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.28%1.78cote équitable
EV +15.37%
Avantage +7.50%
Kelly +14.64%
Croissance +2.25%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%55.86%56.09%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.691.672.0566.67%59.14%59.88%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -21.30%E -11.83%K -26.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +15.37%E +7.50%K +14.64%G +2.25%4.3%2026-05-18 08:45
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -15.61%E -8.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +4.11%E +2.22%K +4.84%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-18 08:29
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.99%E +1.63%K +3.60%G +0.107%4.6%2026-05-18 08:34
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.42%E +1.33%K +2.96%G +0.072%4.5%2026-05-18 08:29
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -12.12%E -6.03%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.86%E +1.03%K +2.30%G +0.043%5.0%2026-05-18 08:29
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-18 08:35
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-18 08:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.6%2026-05-18 08:24
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.8%2026-05-18 08:29
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.8%2026-05-18 08:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.74%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%6.8%2026-05-18 08:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.736%E +0.411%K +0.931%G +0.007%5.4%2026-05-18 08:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 08:36
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 08:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 08:39
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:35
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:44
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 08:46
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -16.49%E -8.63%K -18.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.20%EV -5.45%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 08:31
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:44
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:46
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:46
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 08:46
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 08:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.94%E +2.06%K +3.53%G +0.174%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.90%E -9.08%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-18 08:46
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78%9.0%2026-05-18 08:45