مدرسة الاحتمالات

Magdalena Frech v Talia Gibson

البداية: 2026-05-18 08:46 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Magdalena Frech (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.72%2.29السعر العادل
EV +7.12%
الأفضلية +2.91%
Kelly +4.91%
النمو +0.350%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.97%44.14%43.91%53.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.122.102.4555.56%47.21%47.62%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Talia Gibson (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.28%1.78السعر العادل
EV +15.37%
الأفضلية +7.50%
Kelly +14.64%
النمو +2.25%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.75%55.86%56.09%62.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.691.672.0566.67%59.14%59.88%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -21.30%E -11.83%K -26.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +15.37%E +7.50%K +14.64%G +2.25%4.3%2026-05-18 08:45
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -15.61%E -8.09%K -16.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +4.11%E +2.22%K +4.84%G +0.199%5.9%2026-05-18 08:29
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.99%E +1.63%K +3.60%G +0.107%4.6%2026-05-18 08:34
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.42%E +1.33%K +2.96%G +0.072%4.5%2026-05-18 08:29
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -12.12%E -6.03%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.86%E +1.03%K +2.30%G +0.043%5.0%2026-05-18 08:29
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-18 08:35
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.1%2026-05-18 08:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.6%2026-05-18 08:24
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.8%2026-05-18 08:29
Codere (IT)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%5.8%2026-05-18 08:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.74%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021%6.8%2026-05-18 08:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.736%E +0.411%K +0.931%G +0.007%5.4%2026-05-18 08:29
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 08:36
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 08:35
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-18 08:39
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:35
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:44
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 08:46
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -16.49%E -8.63%K -18.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.20%EV -5.45%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 08:31
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:44
DraftKings2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:46
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:45
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:46
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 08:46
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 08:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 08:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-18 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 08:46
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.94%E +2.06%K +3.53%G +0.174%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.90%E -9.08%K -26.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-05-18 08:46
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78%9.0%2026-05-18 08:45