La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Magdalena Frech v Talia Gibson
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Predicción 43.72%2.29momio equitativo
EV +7.12%
Ventaja +2.91%
Kelly +4.91%
Crecimiento +0.350%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.97%44.14%43.91%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.122.102.4555.56%47.21%47.62%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Talia Gibson (Visitante)
Predicción 56.28%1.78momio equitativo
EV +15.37%
Ventaja +7.50%
Kelly +14.64%
Crecimiento +2.25%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%55.86%56.09%62.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.691.672.0566.67%59.14%59.88%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -21.30%E -11.83%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +15.37%E +7.50%K +14.64%G +2.25% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -15.61%E -8.09%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV +4.11%E +2.22%K +4.84%G +0.199% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.99%E +1.63%K +3.60%G +0.107% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 08:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +2.42%E +1.33%K +2.96%G +0.072% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -12.12%E -6.03%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.86%E +1.03%K +2.30%G +0.043% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:34 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -12.99%E -6.53%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.74%E -7.56%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.30%E +0.721%K +1.62%G +0.021% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -11.68%E -5.78%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV +0.736%E +0.411%K +0.931%G +0.007% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 08:36 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV +0.173%E +0.097%K +0.222%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-18 08:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.390%E -0.220%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:44 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.06%E -4.35%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.08%E -1.19%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.64%E -1.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Bally Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -9.93%E -4.82%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -3.77%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.33%E -2.55%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -16.49%E -8.63%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.20%EV -5.45%E -3.25%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 08:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.37%E -5.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.02%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 08:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.68%E -2.15%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.18%E -3.90%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.14%E -4.33%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.12%E -2.36%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.43%EV -13.87%E -7.04%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.57%EV -7.71%E -4.70%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.00%E -2.79%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| LeoVegas | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.83%E -5.45%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -6.43%E -3.01%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.55%E -6.28%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.96%E -6.22%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -3.81%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -11.08%E -7.01%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.563%E +0.245%K +0.433%G +0.002% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.62%E -0.721%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.65%E -7.42%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +4.94%E +2.06%K +3.53%G +0.174% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -13.90%E -9.08%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +7.12%E +2.91%K +4.91%G +0.350% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -15.58%E -10.39%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Novig | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.78% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |