Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Magdalena Frech v Leylah Fernandez

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 13:49 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.600%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.36%31.34%31.35%32.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.1535.09%33.49%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visit)

Prediction 68.66%1.46fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.06%68.66%68.65%69.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.56%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 31.34%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 68.66%. For Magdalena Frech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Coolbet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -2.23%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
DraftKings🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.23%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:40
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:29
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -3.17%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BetUS🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -3.48%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 13:32
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.74%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 13:29
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:39
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:37
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:37
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:39
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:37
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:37
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:37
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.93%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:31
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.68%E -6.52%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 13:39
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:33
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:34
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:39
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Novig3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%2.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-05-19 13:40