مدرسة الاحتمالات

Magdalena Frech v Leylah Fernandez

البداية: 2026-05-19 13:49 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Magdalena Frech (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.34%3.19السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.410%
Kelly -0.600%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.36%31.34%31.35%32.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.852.993.003.1535.09%33.49%33.33%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leylah Fernandez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.66%1.46السعر العادل
EV -2.50%
الأفضلية -1.76%
Kelly -5.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.06%68.66%68.65%69.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.56%72.46%70.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 13:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Coolbet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -2.23%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
DraftKings3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.23%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -3.17%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BetUS3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -3.48%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 13:32
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:29
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.74%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 13:29
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:39
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:37
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:37
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:39
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:37
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:37
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:37
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:37
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:40
SportsBet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.93%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:40
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:31
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.68%E -6.52%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 13:39
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 13:40
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:33
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:34
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:39
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Novig3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%2.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-05-19 13:40