La escuela de los momios

Magdalena Frech v Leylah Fernandez

Inicio: 2026-05-19 13:49 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.600%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.36%31.34%31.35%32.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.852.993.003.1535.09%33.49%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Predicción 68.66%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -5.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.06%68.66%68.65%69.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.56%72.46%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 13:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:40
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.29%E -0.410%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Coolbet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -2.23%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 13:40
DraftKings3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.23%E -0.715%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:29
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.86%E -0.922%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.49%EV -3.17%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.51%EV -2.50%E -1.76%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BetUS3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -3.48%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 13:32
ReBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:29
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.42%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.74%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 13:29
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:39
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:37
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:40
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:37
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 13:39
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.56%E -3.28%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:37
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:37
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:30
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.93%E -4.33%K -16.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 13:40
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:37
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:37
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.99%E -2.00%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 13:40
SportsBet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.93%E -2.33%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:40
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.24%E -3.80%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 13:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:31
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -7.56%E -2.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.68%E -6.52%K -26.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 13:39
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 13:40
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:40
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 13:33
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 13:40
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.12%E -3.15%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -7.99%E -5.96%K -23.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 13:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:40
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.75%E -3.39%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.62%E -4.87%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 13:34
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:39
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.87%E -2.76%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -10.69%E -3.75%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -7.30%E -5.41%K -20.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 13:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-19 13:40
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%1.2%2026-05-19 13:40
Novig3.27I 30.58%NM 29.83%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.17%2.5%2026-05-19 13:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%3.2%2026-05-19 13:40