Language:English
Leolia Jeanjean v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leolia Jeanjean (Local)
Prediction 21.42%4.67fair odd
EV +12.45%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +0.364%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%22.42%21.35%34.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.814.184.355.2535.59%23.90%22.99%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 78.58%1.27fair odd
EV +15.52%
Edge +10.55%
Kelly +33.01%
Growth +5.12%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.65%77.58%78.65%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.221.201.4787.72%82.13%83.33%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leolia Jeanjean (Local): 21.42%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 78.58%. For Leylah Fernandez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.27. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -39.81%E -14.17%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV +15.52%E +10.55%K +33.01%G +5.12% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -30.39%E -9.35%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +5.30%E +3.95%K +15.59%G +0.826% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -30.39%E -9.35%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +4.51%E +3.39%K +13.68%G +0.617% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -26.32%E -7.65%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +3.73%E +2.82%K +11.65%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -26.32%E -7.65%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +3.73%E +2.82%K +11.65%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.35%EV -29.11%E -8.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.65%EV +2.94%E +2.25%K +9.49%G +0.279% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -29.32%E -8.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.16%E +1.66%K +7.19%G +0.155% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -29.32%E -8.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.16%E +1.66%K +7.19%G +0.155% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.666%E +0.142%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -6.49%E -5.45%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.49%E -5.45%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.90%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.85%E -7.63%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -8.85%E -7.63%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +12.45%E +2.37%K +2.93%G +0.364% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -9.63%E -8.37%K -64.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.42%E -9.14%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |