Idioma:Español
Leolia Jeanjean v Leylah Fernandez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leolia Jeanjean (Local)
Predicción 21.42%4.67momio equitativo
EV +12.45%
Ventaja +2.37%
Kelly +2.93%
Crecimiento +0.364%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.97%22.42%21.35%34.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.814.184.355.2535.59%23.90%22.99%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)
Predicción 78.58%1.27momio equitativo
EV +15.52%
Ventaja +10.55%
Kelly +33.01%
Crecimiento +5.12%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.65%77.58%78.65%82.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.221.201.4787.72%82.13%83.33%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leolia Jeanjean (Local): 21.42%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 78.58%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.27. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.47, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +15.52%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -39.81%E -14.17%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV +15.52%E +10.55%K +33.01%G +5.12% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -30.39%E -9.35%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +5.30%E +3.95%K +15.59%G +0.826% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -30.39%E -9.35%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +4.51%E +3.39%K +13.68%G +0.617% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -26.32%E -7.65%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +3.73%E +2.82%K +11.65%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -26.32%E -7.65%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +3.73%E +2.82%K +11.65%G +0.434% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.35%EV -29.11%E -8.79%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.65%EV +2.94%E +2.25%K +9.49%G +0.279% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -29.32%E -8.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.16%E +1.66%K +7.19%G +0.155% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -29.32%E -8.88%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.16%E +1.66%K +7.19%G +0.155% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.666%E +0.142%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.294%G +0.003% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -6.49%E -5.45%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.49%E -5.45%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.90%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.85%E -7.63%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -8.85%E -7.63%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +12.45%E +2.37%K +2.93%G +0.364% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -9.63%E -8.37%K -64.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.42%E -9.14%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Novig◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |