L’École des cotes

Leolia Jeanjean v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leolia Jeanjean (Local)

Prévision 21.42%4.67cote équitable
EV +12.45%
Avantage +2.37%
Kelly +2.93%
Croissance +0.364%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%22.42%21.35%34.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.814.184.355.2535.59%23.90%22.99%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.58%1.27cote équitable
EV +15.52%
Avantage +10.55%
Kelly +33.01%
Croissance +5.12%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.65%77.58%78.65%82.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.221.201.4787.72%82.13%83.33%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -39.81%E -14.17%K -22.00%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV +15.52%E +10.55%K +33.01%G +5.12%3.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -30.39%E -9.35%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV +5.30%E +3.95%K +15.59%G +0.826%5.4%2026-05-17 13:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -30.39%E -9.35%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +4.51%E +3.39%K +13.68%G +0.617%6.0%2026-05-17 13:05
BetOnline.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -26.32%E -7.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +3.73%E +2.82%K +11.65%G +0.434%4.8%2026-05-17 13:55
LowVig.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -26.32%E -7.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV +3.73%E +2.82%K +11.65%G +0.434%4.8%2026-05-17 13:55
SportsBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.35%EV -29.11%E -8.79%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.65%EV +2.94%E +2.25%K +9.49%G +0.279%6.5%2026-05-17 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -29.32%E -8.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.16%E +1.66%K +7.19%G +0.155%7.2%2026-05-17 13:05
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -29.32%E -8.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV +2.16%E +1.66%K +7.19%G +0.155%7.2%2026-05-17 13:05
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:23
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:23
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -1.77%E -1.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:23
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 14:24
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:24
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:23
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -19.68%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.13%E -3.39%K -18.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 14:25
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.92%E -4.06%K -23.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.666%E +0.142%K +0.180%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.33%E -3.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV +1.09%E +0.232%K +0.294%G +0.003%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -6.49%E -5.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.49%E -5.45%K -34.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.62%E -0.804%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.69%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.48%E -0.321%K -0.410%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -5.76%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.83%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.90%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.06%E -6.89%K -47.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 14:23
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -8.85%E -7.63%K -55.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.95%EV -8.85%E -7.63%K -55.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +12.45%E +2.37%K +2.93%G +0.364%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -9.63%E -8.37%K -64.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -10.42%E -9.14%K -74.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%4.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Novig4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25