Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 15:47 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prediction 34.27%2.92fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%34.32%34.29%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.732.753.0542.55%36.66%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 65.73%1.52fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.939%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%65.68%65.71%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.5073.53%69.86%70.18%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 34.27%; Iva Jović (Visit): 65.73%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +4.53%E +1.49%K +2.21%G +0.100%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -8.64%E -6.21%K -22.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +3.84%E +1.27%K +1.89%G +0.073%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -6.01%E -4.20%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 15:39
DraftKings🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:39
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +2.82%E +0.939%K +1.41%G +0.040%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 15:34
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.82%E +0.939%K +1.41%G +0.040%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +0.074%E +0.025%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:36
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 15:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:36
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:40
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:33
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 15:27
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.30%E -0.450%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -8.64%E -6.21%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 15:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 15:31
Coolbet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 15:40
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:38
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:40
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 15:33
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 15:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 15:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.47%E -2.77%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.01%E -4.20%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.47%E -2.77%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 15:40
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:38
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:40
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.41%E -0.939%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -16.03%E -6.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -16.03%E -6.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -19.46%E -8.28%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -19.46%E -8.28%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%6.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%7.0%2026-05-20 15:40