L’École des cotes

Emma Navarro v Iva Jović

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 15:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 34.27%2.92cote équitable
EV +4.53%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.21%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.19%34.32%34.29%38.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.732.753.0542.55%36.66%36.36%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.73%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.939%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.52%65.68%65.71%68.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.421.5073.53%69.86%70.18%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +4.53%E +1.49%K +2.21%G +0.100%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -8.64%E -6.21%K -22.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Pinnacle3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +3.84%E +1.27%K +1.89%G +0.073%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -6.01%E -4.20%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-20 15:40
BetOnline.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 15:40
LowVig.ag3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 15:39
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:39
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +2.82%E +0.939%K +1.41%G +0.040%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 15:34
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.82%E +0.939%K +1.41%G +0.040%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 15:40
Bet Right2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +0.074%E +0.025%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 15:36
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 15:29
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:36
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 15:33
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 15:27
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.30%E -0.450%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 15:40
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 15:40
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -8.64%E -6.21%K -22.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 15:39
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 15:31
Coolbet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 15:40
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:38
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 15:40
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 15:33
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 15:40
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 15:36
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 15:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.47%E -2.77%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.01%E -4.20%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.47%E -2.77%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 15:40
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:38
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:40
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.41%E -0.939%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 15:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:40
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -16.03%E -6.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-20 15:40
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -16.03%E -6.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-20 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -19.46%E -8.28%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:40
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -19.46%E -8.28%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-05-20 15:40
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Novig2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%6.0%2026-05-20 15:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%7.0%2026-05-20 15:40