La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Emma Navarro v Iva Jović
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Emma Navarro (Local)
Predicción 34.27%2.92momio equitativo
EV +4.53%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.100%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.19%34.32%34.29%38.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.732.753.0542.55%36.66%36.36%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iva Jović (Visitante)
Predicción 65.73%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.52%65.68%65.71%68.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.421.5073.53%69.86%70.18%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV +4.53%E +1.49%K +2.21%G +0.100% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -8.64%E -6.21%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +3.84%E +1.27%K +1.89%G +0.073% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -6.01%E -4.20%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV +3.50%E +1.16%K +1.73%G +0.061% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +2.82%E +0.939%K +1.41%G +0.040% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-20 15:34 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.82%E +0.939%K +1.41%G +0.040% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV +0.074%E +0.025%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 15:36 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 15:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 15:36 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-20 15:33 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -0.611%E -0.211%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 15:27 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.30%E -0.450%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -7.32%E -5.19%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -8.64%E -6.21%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 15:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -2.32%E -0.816%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.61%E -7.80%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 15:31 |
| Coolbet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.70%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-20 15:38 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.04%E -1.44%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -5.07%E -1.83%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.04%E -2.77%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-20 15:33 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 15:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.75%E -2.09%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.47%E -2.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.01%E -4.20%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.47%E -2.77%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.30%E -6.74%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.18%E -3.46%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -7.98%E -5.70%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 15:38 |
| Bet Victor | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.21%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.41%E -0.939%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Unibet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Casumo | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| betPARX | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.89%E -4.19%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.07%E -1.39%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -12.61%E -4.94%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.69%E -3.24%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -14.32%E -5.73%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -16.03%E -6.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -2.72%E -1.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -16.03%E -6.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -6.67%E -4.69%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -19.46%E -8.28%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -3.38%E -2.30%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -19.46%E -8.28%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -5.35%E -3.72%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29% | 1.4% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Novig | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 15:40 |