Language:English
Mika Stojsavljevic v Donna Vekic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mika Stojsavljevic (Local)
Prediction 28.69%3.49fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.81%28.88%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.5333.33%30.36%30.26%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Donna Vekic (Visit)
Prediction 71.31%1.40fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.19%71.12%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.60%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mika Stojsavljevic (Local): 28.69%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 71.31%. For Mika Stojsavljevic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +1.28%E +0.362%K +0.505%G +0.006% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.417%E +0.119%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -2.31%E -1.68%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.59%E -1.15%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52% | 3.6% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |