La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mika Stojsavljevic v Donna Vekic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mika Stojsavljevic (Local)
Predicción 28.69%3.49momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.362%
Kelly +0.505%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%28.81%28.88%31.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.5333.33%30.36%30.26%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Donna Vekic (Visitante)
Predicción 71.31%1.40momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -4.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%71.19%71.12%73.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.60%75.76%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +1.28%E +0.362%K +0.505%G +0.006% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.417%E +0.119%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:48 |
| ReBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Bally Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Pinnacle | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -2.31%E -1.68%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:48 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.59%E -1.15%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.4% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |
| Novig | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52% | 3.6% | 2026-06-09 15:50 |