La scuola delle quote

Mika Stojsavljevic v Donna Vekic

Inizio: 2026-06-09 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mika Stojsavljevic (Casa)

Previsione 28.69%3.49quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.362%
Kelly +0.505%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.93%28.81%28.88%31.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.293.303.5333.33%30.36%30.26%28.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Donna Vekic (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.31%1.40quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -4.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%71.19%71.12%73.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.321.321.3878.74%75.60%75.76%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV +1.28%E +0.362%K +0.505%G +0.006%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:50
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.417%E +0.119%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 15:49
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:48
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 15:49
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -1.02%E -0.295%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 15:49
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-09 15:50
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:49
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:49
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:49
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:50
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:50
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:50
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-09 15:49
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 15:49
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.45%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:49
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.58%E -5.03%K -21.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 15:49
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:49
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:50
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 15:49
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 29.27%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.73%EV -2.31%E -1.68%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-09 15:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 15:49
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 15:50
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.87%E -4.45%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 15:50
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.32%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -8.01%E -6.21%K -27.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-09 15:49
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:50
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:49
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:50
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.76%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 15:50
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.45%E -3.32%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-09 15:49
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.19%E -2.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.30%E -5.61%K -24.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 15:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 15:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 15:48
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.02%E -2.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 15:49
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:50
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.16%E -3.88%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 15:49
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -11.06%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.44%E -7.43%K -34.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-09 15:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.93%E -4.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.59%E -1.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 15:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-06-09 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%1.4%2026-06-09 15:50
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%2.0%2026-06-09 15:50
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.4%2026-06-09 15:50
Novig3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52%3.6%2026-06-09 15:50