Language:English
Laura Siegemund v Francesca Jones
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Laura Siegemund (Local)
Prediction 69.40%1.44fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -7.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%69.34%69.49%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.371.4075.76%73.27%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francesca Jones (Visit)
Prediction 30.60%3.27fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.940%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%30.66%30.51%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.073.053.2033.90%32.62%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laura Siegemund (Local): 69.40%; Francesca Jones (Visit): 30.60%. For Francesca Jones (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -2.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -2.85%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -2.68%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.07%E -0.646%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.90%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.90%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.05%E -1.97%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 13:17 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.52%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.07%E -0.646%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.52%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-09 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84% | 6.4% | 2026-06-09 13:20 |