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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Laura Siegemund v Francesca Jones

开赛时间： 2026-06-09 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Laura Siegemund (主队)

预测 69.40%1.44公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -2.03%
Kelly -7.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布
68.45%69.34%69.49%70.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.361.371.4075.76%73.27%72.99%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Francesca Jones (客队)

预测 30.60%3.27公平赔率
EV -2.07%
优势 -0.646%
Kelly -0.940%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.67%30.66%30.51%31.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.073.053.2033.90%32.62%32.79%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Laura Siegemund (主队)：69.40%；Francesca Jones (客队)：30.60%。 对于“Francesca Jones (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.27。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.20，期望值为-2.07%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -2.85%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -2.68%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-09 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.07%E -0.646%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.90%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.90%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 13:20
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.05%E -1.97%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 13:17
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:19
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:19
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.52%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 13:19
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:19
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:19
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:19
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.07%E -0.646%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.52%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 13:19
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 13:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%6.4%2026-06-09 13:20