La scuola delle quote

Laura Siegemund v Francesca Jones

Inizio: 2026-06-09 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Casa)

Previsione 69.40%1.44quota equa
EV -2.85%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -7.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.45%69.34%69.49%70.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.361.371.4075.76%73.27%72.99%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francesca Jones (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.60%3.27quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -0.646%
Kelly -0.940%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.67%30.66%30.51%31.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.073.053.2033.90%32.62%32.79%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -2.85%E -2.03%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -2.68%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-09 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.07%E -0.646%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-09 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.90%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 13:19
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.90%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 13:20
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.05%E -1.97%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 13:17
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.23%E -3.07%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:19
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.60%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 13:19
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -4.52%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 13:19
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.66%E -2.18%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.93%E -3.60%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:19
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:19
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-09 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:19
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.62%E -4.13%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:19
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.07%E -0.646%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 13:20
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 13:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:19
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.72%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 13:19
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -4.52%E -1.45%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-09 13:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 13:19
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.70%E -5.79%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.19%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-09 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.40%E -6.36%K -26.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.13%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 13:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-09 13:20
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%6.4%2026-06-09 13:20