Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laura Siegemund v Amanda Anisimova

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 11:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.282%
Kelly +0.381%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.44%26.25%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.8530.77%28.59%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visit)

Prediction 73.74%1.36fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%73.56%73.75%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.16%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laura Siegemund (Local): 26.26%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 73.74%. For Laura Siegemund (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +1.08%E +0.282%K +0.381%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-10 11:40
DraftKings🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:40
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:39
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 11:40
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:39
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.34%E -5.00%K -23.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 11:40
SportsBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.34%E -5.00%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:39
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:40
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 11:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:39
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.58%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:38
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:39
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:39
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:39
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:39
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:40
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 11:40
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.67%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.92%E -1.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:39
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.67%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Novig3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-06-10 11:40