La escuela de los momios

Laura Siegemund v Amanda Anisimova

Inicio: 2026-06-10 11:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Predicción 26.26%3.81momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.282%
Kelly +0.381%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.44%26.25%29.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.503.503.8530.77%28.59%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Amanda Anisimova (Visitante)

Predicción 73.74%1.36momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -5.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.96%73.56%73.75%75.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.16%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +1.08%E +0.282%K +0.381%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-10 11:40
DraftKings3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:40
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:39
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 11:40
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:39
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.34%E -5.00%K -23.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 11:40
SportsBet3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 11:40
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.34%E -5.00%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:39
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:40
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:40
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 11:39
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:39
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.58%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:39
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:38
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:39
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:39
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:39
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:40
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:39
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 11:40
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.67%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.92%E -1.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.67%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Novig3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-06-10 11:40