L’École des cotes

Laura Siegemund v Amanda Anisimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 11:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Laura Siegemund (Local)

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.282%
Kelly +0.381%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%26.44%26.25%29.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.503.8530.77%28.59%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.74%1.36cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -5.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%73.56%73.75%75.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.16%76.92%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +1.08%E +0.282%K +0.381%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-10 11:40
DraftKings3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:40
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 11:39
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.54%E -0.411%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-10 11:40
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 11:39
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.85%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.34%E -5.00%K -23.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 11:40
SportsBet3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -3.12%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.70%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 11:40
PointsBet (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.34%E -5.00%K -23.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:39
ReBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:40
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 11:40
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.48%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 11:39
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.79%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:39
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.58%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.88%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 11:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:39
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 11:40
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:38
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 11:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 11:39
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.10%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.82%E -6.26%K -31.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:39
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.61%E -4.38%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.73%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.40%E -2.59%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 11:39
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:39
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.66%E -2.01%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-10 11:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:40
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:40
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.13%E -3.18%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 11:39
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 11:40
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.67%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.92%E -1.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 11:39
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.67%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.87%E -3.78%K -16.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-06-10 11:40
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-10 11:40
Novig3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-10 11:40
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-06-10 11:40