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Harriet Dart v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harriet Dart (Local)
Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.722%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.46%33.73%33.81%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9238.46%35.58%35.71%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 66.23%1.51fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%66.27%66.19%67.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.431.4672.99%70.11%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harriet Dart (Local): 33.77%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 66.23%. For Harriet Dart (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -1.39%E -0.475%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 13:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.40%E -0.831%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.40%E -0.831%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.27%E -6.76%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-08 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 13:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.79%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.60%E -6.24%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.3% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |