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Harriet Dart v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Harriet Dart (Local)
Predicción 33.77%2.96momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.46%33.73%33.81%35.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.812.802.9238.46%35.58%35.71%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 66.23%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -7.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.04%66.27%66.19%67.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.431.431.4672.99%70.11%69.93%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Harriet Dart (Local): 33.77%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante): 66.23%. Para Harriet Dart (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.92, con un valor esperado de -1.39%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -1.39%E -0.475%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-08 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 13:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.40%E -0.831%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.40%E -0.831%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.27%E -6.76%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-08 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-08 13:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.79%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.60%E -6.24%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-08 13:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 0.2% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-06-08 13:39 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51% | 2.3% | 2026-06-08 13:49 |