L’École des cotes

Harriet Dart v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-08 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Harriet Dart (Local)

Prévision 33.77%2.96cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.475%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.46%33.73%33.81%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.802.9238.46%35.58%35.71%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.23%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -7.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.04%66.27%66.19%67.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.431.4672.99%70.11%69.93%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -1.39%E -0.475%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-08 13:10
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-08 13:09
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 13:05
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.06%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 13:48
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.40%E -0.831%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 13:09
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.40%E -0.831%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.74%E -0.951%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.75%E -1.32%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.27%E -6.76%K -25.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-08 13:00
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.43%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 13:08
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:29
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:09
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 13:09
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 13:09
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 13:09
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 13:49
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 13:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.44%E -1.94%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 13:09
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.45%E -2.33%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 13:09
DraftKings2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.79%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.63%E -3.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-08 13:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.29%E -3.70%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 13:09
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 13:09
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.28%E -5.20%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 13:09
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.13%E -2.59%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.60%E -6.24%K -22.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-08 13:49
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.97%E -2.74%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.82%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.96%E -4.19%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 13:09
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -12.19%E -4.69%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.31%E -2.26%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-08 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-06-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-06-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-06-08 13:49
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-06-08 13:39
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-06-08 13:39
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-06-08 13:49