Language:English
Elena Rybakina v Katie Boulter
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Rybakina (Local)
Prediction 75.98%1.32fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -6.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%75.98%76.15%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.01%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katie Boulter (Visit)
Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.337%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.02%23.85%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.954.1228.57%25.74%25.32%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 75.98%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 24.02%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.12, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.74%E -2.14%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.74%E -2.14%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.94%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.50%E -2.76%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -1.05%E -0.256%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.21%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.21%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.53%E -0.374%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.54%E -5.32%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-06-12 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 2.8% | 2026-06-12 16:49 |