A Escola das Odds

Elena Rybakina v Katie Boulter

Início: 2026-06-12 16:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Previsão 75.98%1.32odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -6.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.22%75.98%76.15%76.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.01%80.00%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Katie Boulter (Visitante)

Previsão 24.02%4.16odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.256%
Kelly -0.337%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.22%24.02%23.85%26.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.883.954.1228.57%25.74%25.32%24.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:49
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.74%E -2.14%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 16:50
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.74%E -2.14%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.94%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.50%E -2.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 16:50
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -1.05%E -0.256%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 16:50
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.21%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.21%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 16:50
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:49
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 16:49
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 16:50
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.53%E -0.374%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 16:50
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.54%E -5.32%K -28.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 16:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-06-12 16:50
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83%2.8%2026-06-12 16:49