La escuela de los momios

Elena Rybakina v Katie Boulter

Inicio: 2026-06-12 16:55 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Predicción 75.98%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -6.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.22%75.98%76.15%76.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.2981.97%80.01%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katie Boulter (Visitante)

Predicción 24.02%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.256%
Kelly -0.337%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.22%24.02%23.85%26.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.954.1228.57%25.74%25.32%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:49
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.98%E -1.54%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:49
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.74%E -2.14%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.54%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 16:50
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.74%E -2.14%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.94%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.50%E -2.76%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 16:50
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -1.05%E -0.256%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-12 16:50
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.21%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.21%E -0.798%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-12 16:50
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.34%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:49
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.54%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 16:49
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.02%E -4.02%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 16:50
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.53%E -0.374%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 16:50
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.54%E -5.32%K -28.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 16:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.93%E -0.984%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 16:50
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.74%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 16:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.94%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-06-12 16:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-06-12 16:50
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83%2.8%2026-06-12 16:49